The sash itself is a fairly rich red, and it appears to have weathering or texturing that causes the mottled pattern. The Glitterbug Crushed Panne seems to create two different effects depending on the light, one being a very reflective surface, and one being more subdued, which actually matches the effect that the reference image shows pretty damn closely with the darker mottled areas. My only concern with this is that it is in the "really shiny" phase more, but maybe dirtying it up a bit will lessen that?
Without seeing the fabric hanging loose (which is always nice when you are trying to match drape and movement), The colors of both the first options seem to fall short of the vibrancy and richness of the red necessary, though the second one, just off glance, seems to have a good matching drape effect. the color of the crushed panne with the fluidity of the biking red jet set. You don't want to start too dark with the fabric, but rather chose a richer red (like the reds seen in the background of the first two, but in matching knit style) and then distressing and weathering them to get the darker mottled contrast will get you a closer resemblance.